US Inflation Holds at 3.7 Percent, Keeping Pressure on the Federal Reserve

US inflation held steady at 3.7 percent in July, according to the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, keeping price growth well above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target for the 65th consecutive month.

On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.2 percent, above expectations of 0.1 percent, reinforcing concerns that inflation is proving stickier than policymakers had hoped.

Energy costs have been a primary driver, with gasoline rebounding to around $4.10 a gallon, while the escalating US-Canada tariff dispute could add further pressure.

The data lifted expectations for a Federal Reserve interest-rate increase, with futures pricing in roughly a 42 percent chance of a hike at the September meeting.

For European markets sensitive to US monetary policy, the prospect of higher American rates carries consequences for currencies and capital flows.

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